Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 13.541940 15.846918 18.362505 21.303595 24.639200 28.295959 32.599082
2025-03-09 9.423112 12.494281 16.203616 20.972720 26.896526 33.964523 42.982474
2025-03-16 6.619579 9.756396 13.878267 19.600742 27.235099 36.953671 50.125916
2025-03-23 5.457727 8.768982 13.424979 20.290551 29.966198 42.898456 61.227047
2025-03-30 4.693838 8.135652 13.267958 21.233994 32.986883 49.337876 73.366767
2025-04-06 3.773924 7.061347 12.258917 20.741643 33.821843 52.725787 81.467683
2025-04-13 2.952135 5.966355 11.017654 19.676423 33.607760 54.483249 87.252902
2025-04-20 2.676832 5.750693 11.142240 20.740894 36.692087 61.253426 100.737633
2025-04-27 2.489829 5.656203 11.444065 22.103074 40.330248 69.072988 116.245063
2025-05-04 2.191772 5.287913 11.202148 22.489412 42.375042 74.514844 128.393655
2025-05-11 1.879964 4.827923 10.719537 22.377737 43.540272 78.591333 138.594057
2025-05-18 1.583533 4.337745 10.102425 21.933345 44.059821 81.605311 147.213408
2025-05-25 1.331462 3.911383 9.585089 21.686929 45.036651 85.663161 158.171302
2025-06-01 1.117362 3.528602 9.106120 21.473848 46.088869 89.988964 169.978351
2025-06-08 0.859289 2.960454 8.121025 20.095649 44.797895 90.116655 174.653096
2025-06-15 0.775340 2.841489 8.133606 20.804577 47.590953 97.682680 192.609485
2025-06-22 0.715144 2.775406 8.259559 21.769221 50.964316 106.501886 213.236211
2025-06-29 0.591121 2.477107 7.759766 21.266397 51.299532 109.701557 223.973619
2025-07-06 0.464676 2.125557 7.051947 20.178078 50.292197 110.268097 229.916011
2025-07-13 0.437889 2.111414 7.246993 21.265667 54.017355 120.152287 253.563032
2025-07-20 0.422574 2.135623 7.552818 22.657176 58.508276 131.772363 280.990889
2025-07-27 0.377123 2.029394 7.466053 23.051784 60.815213 139.190769 300.809534
2025-08-03 0.323716 1.871112 7.195242 22.937721 61.957946 144.328507 316.498733